Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.679756 4.248602 4.876906 5.622519 6.483526 7.446975 8.607507
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.952896 3.705439 4.608080 5.771247 7.231927 9.007648 11.333958
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.330196 3.143357 4.191138 5.641803 7.601748 10.163270 13.775006
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.856509 2.670891 3.789360 5.440318 7.821492 11.141657 16.141969
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.593998 2.431059 3.649143 5.554902 8.471916 12.786204 19.686405
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.333075 2.143826 3.387302 5.438657 8.753284 13.926431 22.667616
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.221293 2.062962 3.418314 5.766977 9.757890 16.305869 27.951238
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.105067 1.953389 3.382419 5.974223 10.588642 18.519109 33.310297
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.977547 1.802440 3.251414 5.993205 11.091391 20.240284 38.078423
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.825540 1.583032 2.966415 5.689468 10.961894 20.812431 40.831025
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.770218 1.533555 2.980657 5.939210 11.894840 23.461507 47.924697
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.739978 1.527178 3.073658 6.352029 13.201523 27.006667 57.341874
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.679703 1.454832 3.033721 6.506387 14.041613 29.813032 65.845836
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.615358 1.364200 2.943725 6.543576 14.645618 32.233588 73.961010
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.537186 1.231507 2.745663 6.315860 14.637071 33.342693 79.354566
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.466806 1.105035 2.541953 6.042157 14.478175 34.087478 84.024384
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.431597 1.054346 2.500974 6.139362 15.202011 36.973040 94.340796
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.384962 0.969088 2.367134 5.992452 15.311365 38.414267 101.314928
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.372538 0.966206 2.429888 6.342550 16.720161 43.267203 117.939061
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.353610 0.943834 2.441213 6.562973 17.830535 47.539594 133.777776
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.326280 0.895224 2.378761 6.579024 18.399587 50.487017 146.494649
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.286127 0.805887 2.196984 6.242432 17.946438 50.610128 151.205745
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.275732 0.797449 2.231101 6.514879 19.260281 55.843074 171.857122